EUR Market Wrap
- 2y/10y bunds closed -8bp/-6bp as the BoE delivered a rate cut and data spurred concern over slowing growth; German unemployment unexpectedly ticked higher, while US initial jobless claims pushed higher and the ISM Manufacturing report was weaker than expected, particularly in the employment component - all of which is in increased focus ahead of Friday's US payrolls report.
- Main/XO were +4.1bp/+16bp at 58.8bp/310bp while €IG/€HY closed +1bp/+9bp with 3-5yr spreads underperforming at +2bp while IG Fins and Cons Cycs were close to +2.5bp. Primary was kept open by the EUR 1bn 12NC7 from Caixa which tightened 30bps to give a NIC of 5bps.
- SXXP was -1.2% with RE and Retail eeking out gains of +1% and +1.5% while SPX futures was -1.4%. Notable €IG movers included Air Products & Chemicals +9%, Rolls Royce +7%, Smith & Nephew +7%, Kellanova +7%, Worldline -15%, Syensqo -10%, Socgen -9%, Toyota -8%, SES -8%.
- SX5E futures are -1.1% while SPX futures are -0.9%. Looking ahead we have the US NFP print as the main focus point. BOE speak is also due.
Date | GMT/Local | Impact | Country | Event | |
02/08/2024 | 0630/0830 | *** | CH | CPI | |
02/08/2024 | 0645/0845 | * | FR | Industrial Production | |
02/08/2024 | 0800/1000 | * | IT | Industrial Production | |
02/08/2024 | 0900/1100 | * | IT | Retail Sales | |
02/08/2024 | 1115/1215 | UK | BOE's Pill at National MPC Agency Briefing | ||
02/08/2024 | 1230/0830 | *** | US | Employment Report | |
02/08/2024 | 1400/1000 | ** | US | Factory New Orders | |
02/08/2024 | 1430/1030 | CA | BOC market participants survey | ||
02/08/2024 | 1700/1300 | ** | US | Baker Hughes Rig Count Overview - Weekly | |
05/08/2024 | 0700/0900 | ** | ES | Industrial Production | |
05/08/2024 | 0700/0300 | * | TR | Turkey CPI | |
05/08/2024 | 0900/1100 | ** | EU | PPI | |
05/08/2024 | 1400/1000 | *** | US | ISM Non-Manufacturing Index | |
05/08/2024 | 2100/1700 | US | San Francisco Fed's Mary Daly | ||
06/08/2024 | 2301/0001 | * | UK | BRC-KPMG Shop Sales Monitor | |
06/08/2024 | 0430/1430 | *** | AU | RBA Rate Decision | |
06/08/2024 | 0545/0745 | ** | CH | Unemployment | |
06/08/2024 | 0600/0800 | ** | DE | Manufacturing Orders | |
06/08/2024 | 0630/0830 | ** | CH | Retail Sales | |
06/08/2024 | 0730/0930 | ** | EU | S&P Global Final Eurozone Construction PMI | |
06/08/2024 | 0830/0930 | ** | UK | S&P Global/CIPS Construction PMI | |
06/08/2024 | 0900/1100 | ** | EU | Retail Sales | |
06/08/2024 | 0900/1000 | ** | UK | Gilt Outright Auction Result | |
06/08/2024 | 1230/0830 | ** | US | Trade Balance | |
06/08/2024 | 1230/0830 | ** | CA | International Merchandise Trade (Trade Balance) | |
06/08/2024 | 1255/0855 | ** | US | Redbook Retail Sales Index | |
06/08/2024 | 1700/1300 | *** | US | US Note 03 Year Treasury Auction Result | |
07/08/2024 | 2245/1045 | *** | NZ | Quarterly Labor market data | |
07/08/2024 | 0600/0800 | ** | DE | Trade Balance | |
07/08/2024 | 0600/0800 | ** | DE | Industrial Production | |
07/08/2024 | 0645/0845 | * | FR | Foreign Trade | |
07/08/2024 | 0900/1000 | ** | UK | Gilt Outright Auction Result | |
07/08/2024 | 1100/0700 | ** | US | MBA Weekly Applications Index | |
07/08/2024 | - | *** | CN | Trade | |
07/08/2024 | 1400/1000 | * | CA | Ivey PMI | |
07/08/2024 | 1430/1030 | ** | US | DOE Weekly Crude Oil Stocks | |
07/08/2024 | 1700/1300 | ** | US | US Note 10 Year Treasury Auction Result | |
07/08/2024 | 1730/1330 | CA | BOC Minutes (Summary of Deliberations) | ||
07/08/2024 | 1900/1500 | * | US | Consumer Credit | |
08/08/2024 | 0500/1400 | JP | Economy Watchers Survey | ||
08/08/2024 | 1230/0830 | *** | US | Jobless Claims | |
08/08/2024 | 1230/0830 | ** | US | WASDE Weekly Import/Export | |
08/08/2024 | 1400/1000 | ** | US | Wholesale Trade | |
08/08/2024 | 1430/1030 | ** | US | Natural Gas Stocks | |
08/08/2024 | 1700/1300 | *** | US | US Treasury Auction Result for 30 Year Bond | |
08/08/2024 | 1900/1500 | *** | MX | Mexico Interest Rate | |
08/08/2024 | 1900/1500 | US | Richmond Fed's Tom Barkin |