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EUR/USD Downtick Threatens Multi-Month Uptrend
- Firmer USD persisting through the NY cash open, helping pressure major pairs to fresh daily lows - EUR/USD weakness stands out after the break to fresh May lows (through ~1.0941 on the fourth time of asking) which helped trigger a volume surge that's keeping futures markets more active than average for this time of day.* Risk sentiment remains the key driver, with the uptick in the USD mirroring a weaker equity market, initially triggered by deposit flight headlines for PacWest ahead of the opening bell.
- The downside momentum pickup narrows the gap with first support at the 50-dma of 1.0867 ahead of April lows of 1.0831. Selling pressure technically has further to run, with the 14-d RSI only just dipping below 50, and well off technically oversold at these levels. Weakness through 1.0851 would break the uptrend drawn off the September low.
- Options markets have taken note, with front-end risk reversals turning lower on the reversal in spot. The pullback for the 1m EUR/USD RR is the largest since mid-April.
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Why MNI
MNI is the leading provider
of intelligence and analysis on the Global Fixed Income, Foreign Exchange and Energy markets. We use an innovative combination of real-time analysis, deep fundamental research and journalism to provide unique and actionable insights for traders and investors. Our "All signal, no noise" approach drives an intelligence service that is succinct and timely, which is highly regarded by our time constrained client base.Our Head Office is in London with offices in Chicago, Washington and Beijing, as well as an on the ground presence in other major financial centres across the world.