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EUR/USD Seeing Fierce Support at Parity... So Far

FOREX
  • Currency markets continue to keep a very close eye on EUR/USD as the pair trades at new multi-decade lows and within striking distance of the key psychological parity level - a price markets haven't traded below since 2002.
  • Today's test of the level is notable for a number reasons - the USD is seeing broad-based strength as has been the case in a number of recent sessions, but the EUR is also weaker on Tuesday, with a soft ZEW Survey and continued concerns surrounding the outage of the Nord Stream pipeline knocking sentiment.
  • Additionally, today 1.0000 does not only mark psychological support, but also the base of the bear channel drawn off the February high (see chart below) - a technical indicator that has successfully provided support on numerous occasions this year. Additionally, this week's price action has put EUR/USD solidly in oversold territory. On an RSI basis, EUR/USD is now the most technically oversold since Q1 2020 and the depths of the COVID crisis.
  • GBP is the worst performer in G10 so far Tuesday, closely followed by the EUR. JPY is seen strongest, closely followed by the dollar.
  • With no major data releases due Tuesday, focus turns to speeches from ECB's Villeroy, Fed's Barkin and BoE's Bailey.

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