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EURUSD Basis Showing Signs of Stress in USD Funding Markets (2/2)

BASIS
  • In repose to the Covid-19 shock, the Fed, alongside a number of its counterparts including the BOE, ECB and BoJ announced USD swap arrangements, which restored basis swaps to less stressed levels. Central banks will likely be watching these developments closely. Year-end-like stress is unlikely to spook them too much, but more similar sustained or more elevated levels could see swap lines reintroduced.
  • It is also worth noting the moves seen in EURUSD risk reverals. EURUSD 3-month 25-delta risk reversals have moved around 55bps since Wednesday to -1.04% and show that demand for EURUSD put options is larger than for EURUSD call options. Risk reversals can also be used for hedging, but again are a long way off the sub -3% levels seen at the time of peak-Covid concerns.
Chart: EURUSD 3-month Basis

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