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EURUSD Pops As Greenback Wilts Approaching Month/Year-End

FOREX
  • Despite the early broad based dollar strength on Wednesday, the greenback had a powerful turnaround. The dollar index fell from 96.40 highs all the way to 95.80 as value date month-end fixing approached.
  • EURUSD very firmly off the lows, regaining the 1.13 handle and clearing congestion resistance layered between 1.1342-44. The single currency went on to trade 1.1369 ahead of the fix before retreating and settling around 30 points lower.
  • With the December highs at 1.1360 challenged, the focus turns to key resistance at 1.1383, Nov 30 high. A break of this hurdle is required to signal a stronger recovery.
  • The move lower in the US dollar also benefitted AUD, NZD, GBP and CAD. AUDUSD came within touching distance of 0.7275, a Fibonacci retracement. For bulls, the clear break of 0.7224 signalled a resumption of short-term bullish activity as the pair continues to edge away from strong medium-term support just below the 0.70 mark.
  • Resilient US equity markets bolstered USDJPY, briefly breaching the 115 mark. The break of the 114.25 hurdle last week strengthened bullish technical conditions for USDJPY, signalling potential for a stronger rally. The Nov 24 High at 115.52 remains a key resistance and the bull trigger.
  • Swiss KOF Economic barometer tomorrow morning before US employment claims and the MNI Chicago PMI headline the US docket.

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