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February New Factory Orders Slump Below Forecasts

GERMAN DATA
MNI (London)

GERMANY FEB FACTORY ORDERS -2.2% M/M, +2.9% Y/Y; JAN +8.2%r Y/Y

  • German new manufacturing orders were significantly below forecasts.
  • Factory orders fell 4.5pp to a contractive -0.3% m/m and by 5.3pp to +2.9% y/y.
  • Analysts were forecasting softer decreases of 2.6pp and 2.8pp respectively.
  • Both January numbers were revised upwards, with the year-on-year growth revised up 0.9pp to +8.2%.
  • The strong January growth was on the back of foreign demand growth, which slumped substantially in February.
  • Foreign orders were responsible for the bulk of the decrease, falling -3.3% m/m. Eurozone orders also fell by -3.3% m/m.
  • The data largely predates the 24/2 start of the Ukraine invasion and associated further inflationary pressures and worsening of supply-chain disruption.

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