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Fed Hike Pricing Still Waiting For ECB

STIR FUTURES
  • Another overnight with little change in Fed Funds implied hikes, with 81bp for next week and 143bp for Sep both up 1bp but within this week’s narrow range.
  • Hikes to year-end are also little changed having slowly drifted higher this back to 197bps at levels before last week’s U.Mich surprise dip in long-term inflation expectations.
  • The limited change is unsurprising ahead of today’s expected first ECB rate hike at the new time of 0815ET/presser 0845ET (34bp hike priced), whilst the less significant in comparison but still of note Philly Fed mfg survey and weekly jobless claims hit in the middle.

Source: Bloomberg

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