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Fed Hikes Recovering From Empire Miss

STIR FUTURES
  • Fed Funds implied hikes sit towards the middle of yesterday’s range having ground higher through the European session to continue recovering from the Empire miss before pausing after a dip in ZEW analyst expectations for both Germany and the Eurozone.
  • Pricing 62-63bp for the Sep FOMC with a cumulative 117bp to Dec and 130bp to a peak of 3.63% in Mar’23. Inversion hovers at its recently narrowed 45bps of cuts to Dec’23.
  • No Fedspeak scheduled for today ahead of the FOMC minutes and Governor Bowman tomorrow.

Cumulative hikes implied by FOMC-dated Fed Funds futuresSource: Bloomberg

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