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Fed Rate Path Holds Circa 90bps Of Cuts In 2024 Post-Powell

STIR
  • After some mild gyrations overnight, Fed Funds implied rates are back little changed having shifted lower with the FOMC decision and in particular Chair Powell’s presser yesterday.
  • There is just 4bp of tightening seen for Dec building to a cumulative 7bp to Jan for a terminal 5.39%.
  • It’s followed by a cumulative 31bp of cuts to Jun’24 and 89bp to Dec’24, the latter of yesterday’s 91bp which marked the highest close since Oct 9 and before that mid-September.
  • The FOMC remains in its media blackout today so welcoming remarks from St Louis Fed’s interim president Paese shouldn’t contain any policy relevant content.

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