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Why MNI
MNI is the leading provider
of intelligence and analysis on the Global Fixed Income, Foreign Exchange and Energy markets. We use an innovative combination of real-time analysis, deep fundamental research and journalism to provide unique and actionable insights for traders and investors. Our "All signal, no noise" approach drives an intelligence service that is succinct and timely, which is highly regarded by our time constrained client base.Our Head Office is in London with offices in Chicago, Washington and Beijing, as well as an on the ground presence in other major financial centres across the world.
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Free AccessFed Speak Flattens Yld Curves Ahead Jackson Hole Eco-Summit
- Modest reaction to early data: Tsys bounced after setting session lows on lower than expected weekly claims at 243k vs. 252k est, first revision of Q2 GDP is -0.6% vs. -0.7% est. Yield curves briefly extended session highs (2s10s tapped -25.669) before mixed Fed speak:
- Trading desks citing Philly Fed Harker comment on a 50bp hike is "still a substantial move" for latest bounce after conceding there is no decision yet on the size of a hike at the Sep FOMC. That said, Harker told MNI the Fed should hike above 3.4% by Dec to combat soaring inflation, adding that rates could continue rising next year or hold at that level for some time. Atlanta Fed Bostic said strong data could tip Fed toward 75bp, while KC Fed George: rates could exceed 4%.
- Yield curves flatter/near lows after Tsys extend highs on strong $37B 7Y note auction (91282CFJ5) stopped through: 3.130% high yield vs. 3.159% WI; 2.65x bid-to-cover vs. 2.60x last month
- Heavy session volumes (TYZ>2.6M) tied to surge in Sep/Dec rolling ahead next Wed's First Notice date (Dec takes lead).
- Currently, 2-Yr yield is down 2bps at 3.3701%, 5-Yr is down 7.9bps at 3.1539%, 10-Yr is down 8.2bps at 3.0221%, and 30-Yr is down 8.1bps at 3.2314%.
To read the full story
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Why MNI
MNI is the leading provider
of intelligence and analysis on the Global Fixed Income, Foreign Exchange and Energy markets. We use an innovative combination of real-time analysis, deep fundamental research and journalism to provide unique and actionable insights for traders and investors. Our "All signal, no noise" approach drives an intelligence service that is succinct and timely, which is highly regarded by our time constrained client base.Our Head Office is in London with offices in Chicago, Washington and Beijing, as well as an on the ground presence in other major financial centres across the world.