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Finding Value in EM Equities: Hungary Is Cheap According to P/E Ratio

EMERGING MARKETS
  • In the past few weeks, some EM equity markets have reached new all-time highs (recovering sharply from the March 2020 panic), mostly driven by the constant rise in global liquidity and the US Dollar weakness.
  • This chart shows the PE ratios of the most liquid EM equity markets, which gives a broad view of which markets are currently 'cheap' and which one are 'expensive'.
  • As expected, Turkey, Russia and Brazil appear at the bottom of the 'League', as all currencies have remained weak in the past year (despite USD depreciation) amid rising economic and political uncertainty, with PE ratios of 9.7, 10.8 and 15.7, respectively.
  • However, equities appear to be cheap in Hungary, where the situation has been more stable with the HUF experiencing strong gains recently following NBH 'hawkish' comments; PE ratio of BUX index currently stands at 13.35. The recent HUF strength pushed Hungary equities to a new record high, with BUX Index breaking above its 46,476 resistance this week.
  • On the other hand, Thailand, India and Indonesia appear to be the most expensive equity markets in the EM World, with a current PE of slightly over 30.

Source: Bloomberg/MNI

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