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FOMC minutes from Dec 18-19 meeting show the....>
FED: FOMC minutes from Dec 18-19 meeting show the committee mostly
agreed on the December hike, but also that they could "afford to be
patient" on future policy firming given the lack of inflation pressures.
A few participants, did not want a rate hike in December, noting the
absence of inflation pressures.
- The FOMC did note the impact of financial market volatility and global
growth concerns, reiterating that policy is "not on a preset course" and
that the pace and end-point of future increases is not known. A couple
of participants noted that tighter financial conditions do not appear to
have impacted real activity yet, but that further tightening in
conditions could impact household and business spending.
- The addition of "judges" was to emphasize data-dependency and the
addition of "some" to the further gradual increases statement to
indicate that the FOMC "judged that a relatively limited amount of
additional tightening likely would be appropriate." Several participants
felt it will be needed in coming meetings to remove forward guidance
completely.
- The minutes show no immediate need to end the balance sheet reduction
program with bank reserve supply "still ample." They did express
concerns about controlling rates, with further technical adjustments to
the IOER or using the discount window as options for keeping EFFR within
the target range. They have asked the staff to look at options.
- A further discussion of the long run operating regime showed them
considering building a buffer of reserves above minimum needed for
policy operations, suggesting the possibility of a larger balance sheet.
To read the full story
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Why MNI
MNI is the leading provider
of intelligence and analysis on the Global Fixed Income, Foreign Exchange and Energy markets. We use an innovative combination of real-time analysis, deep fundamental research and journalism to provide unique and actionable insights for traders and investors. Our "All signal, no noise" approach drives an intelligence service that is succinct and timely, which is highly regarded by our time constrained client base.Our Head Office is in London with offices in Chicago, Washington and Beijing, as well as an on the ground presence in other major financial centres across the world.