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Foreign Reserves Decline, Peruvians Remain Cautious Of Castillo Era

PERU
  • PERU - Despite no official announcement regarding the new president, analysts are seeing signs of cautious behaviour as Peruvians remain wary of a Castillo-led Peru.
  • A small mutual-fund firm in Lima, Faro Capital, says its clients pulled half of all their money in the run-up to the vote and the one month since. The "big fear," as Faro's chief investment officer, Fernando Garcia, puts it, is that Castillo will slap restrictions on Peruvians' purchases of dollars and euros, just like Argentina and Venezuela did in recent years. (BBG)
  • Whether this concern is justified or not -- Castillo's top economic adviser insists the angst is overblown -- it's driving the wealthy to get their money out while they can.
  • FX interventions (helping to prop up a depreciating Sol), along with a decline in dollar deposits held at local banks, have driven down Peru's foreign reserves -- the hard currency that forms a country's financial safety net -- in each of the past three months.
  • For reference, the Peruvian central bank will meet and release their statement tomorrow with 7/8 analysts expecting rates to remain at 0.25%. Pantheon Macroeconomics are calling for a 25bps increase to 0.5%.

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