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Further Evidence of Softening Labour Market

GERMAN DATA

Germany unemployment claims rate for September was stable at 5.7%, with the net change in unemployment claims rising 10k on the month (vs 15k expected, 20k prior).

  • Total vacancies fell for an 8th consecutive month, by -8k (vs -11k prior).
  • The vacancy to unemployment ratio thus fell once again, indicating less tightness in the German labour market.
  • This week saw the release of several surveys with employment components - the IAB Labour Market Barometer, IFO Employment Barometer and EC Expected Employment Indicator.
  • All surveys pointed to softening employment prospects ahead across sectors. Caution towards future hiring was also seen in the German flash PMI released last week - next week's final PMI prints may provide more insight fort the services/manufacturing sectors in this regard.

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