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German trade balance slumps below forecast

GERMAN DATA
MNI (London)

GERMANY DEC IMPORTS +4.7% M/M, NOV +3.4%r

GERMANY DEC EXPORTS +0.9% M/M, NOV +1.8%r

DEC TRADE BALANCE SA 6.8BLN, NPV 11.6BLNr

  • German trade data missed estimates, with exports growing by +0.9% m/m, down from +1.8%r m/m in November albeit substantially stronger than the contraction of -0.5% forecast.
  • On the other side of the balance sheet, imports jumped +4.7% m/m in December, beating expectations by about seven points which saw a dip to -2.1% m/m. Imports increased on the month from November's revised reading of +3.4%.
  • Compared with December 2020, exports were up +15.6 y/y, whilst imports were up a significant +27.8% y/y.
  • This leaves the trade balance at 7.0b for December, dipping 4.6bln from November and approximately 4.0b below the consensus forecast.
  • Exports and imports within the EU both grew by about +23% y/y.

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