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AUSSIE 10-YEAR TECHS

(H1) Fragile Outlook

US TSYS SUMMARY

Curve Lower, Flatter as Yields Reverse Off Cycle Highs

US TSY/RECAP

Yield Curve Update

STIR FUTURES

Eurodollars Futures Snapshot

USDCAD TECHS

Consolidating

AUDUSD TECHS

Probes Key Support

Global Data Calendar

Date GMT/Local Impact Period Country Release Prior Consensus Unit
1/9/2020 0030/0930 ** Aug JP IHS Markit Manufacturing PMI (f) -- --
1/9/2020 0130/1130 AU Total dwelling units approved, % change m/m, SA -4.9 -1 %
1/9/2020 0130/1130 AU SA Quarterly Current Account Balance 8400 13000 AUD (m)
1/9/2020 0145/0945 ** Aug CN IHS Markit Manufacturing PMI (f) 52.8 52.5
1/9/2020 0430/1430 AU Interest Rate -- -- %
1/9/2020 0430/1430 AU Interest Rate Change -- -- %
1/9/2020 0630/0830 ** Aug SE Manufacturing PMI 51 52.1
1/9/2020 0715/0915 ** Aug ES IHS Markit Manufacturing PMI (f) 53.5 53
1/9/2020 0745/0945 ** Aug IT IHS Markit Manufacturing PMI (f) 51.9 52
1/9/2020 0750/0950 ** Aug FR IHS Markit Manufacturing PMI (f) 49 49
1/9/2020 0755/0955 ** Aug DE IHS Markit Manufacturing PMI (f) 53 53
1/9/2020 0755/0955 ** Sep DE unemployment change m/m -18 0 (k)
1/9/2020 0755/0955 ** Sep DE unemployment rate 6.4 6.4 %
1/9/2020 0800/1000 ** Aug EU IHS Markit Manufacturing PMI (f) 51.7 51.7
1/9/2020 0830/0930 ** UK M4 ex-intermediate m/m -- -- %
1/9/2020 0830/0930 ** UK M4 ex-intermediate y/y -- -- %
1/9/2020 0830/0930 ** UK M4 money supply m/m 1 -- %
1/9/2020 0830/0930 ** UK M4 money supply y/y 13.1 -- %
1/9/2020 0830/0930 ** UK mortgage approvals (BOE) 40 55
1/9/2020 0830/0930 ** UK net consumer credit (BOE) -0.1 0.8 GBP (b)
1/9/2020 0830/0930 ** UK net lending on dwellings 1.9 3 GBP (b)
1/9/2020 0830/0930 ** Aug UK IHS Markit/CIPS Manufacturing PMI (Final) 55.3 55.3
1/9/2020 0900/1100 *** Sep EU HICP (p) 'core' y/y 1.2 0.9 %
1/9/2020 0900/1100 *** Sep EU HICP (p) y/y 0.4 0.2 %
1/9/2020 0900/1100 ** Aug EU unemployment m/m 7.8 8 %
1/9/2020 1255/0855 ** 29-Aug US Redbook retail sales m/m 4.1 -- %
1/9/2020 1345/0945 *** Aug US IHS Markit Mfg Index (final) 53.6 53.6
1/9/2020 - *** Aug US NA-made light vehicle sales SAAR 14.52 14.8 (m)
1/9/2020 1400/1000 *** Aug US ISM Manufacturing Index 54.2 54.5
1/9/2020 1400/1000 * Jul US construction spending -0.7 1.1 %
1/9/2020 1430/1030 ** Sep US Dallas Fed services index -- --
2/9/2020 2301/0001 * Sep UK BRC Shop Price Index m/m -- -- %
2/9/2020 2301/0001 * Sep UK BRC Shop Price Index y/y -1.3 -- %
2/9/2020 0600/0800 ** Aug DE retail sales m/m -2 0.5 %
2/9/2020 0600/0800 ** Aug DE retail sales y/y 6 4.1 %
2/9/2020 0600/0700 * Aug UK Nationwide House Price Ind y/y 1.5 2 %
2/9/2020 0900/1100 ** Jul EU PPI m/m 0.7 0.5 %
2/9/2020 0900/1100 ** Jul EU PPI y/y -3.7 -3.4 %
2/9/2020 1100/0700 ** 28-Aug US MBA Mortgage Applications -6.5 -- %
2/9/2020 1215/0815 *** Aug US ADP private payrolls 167 950 (k)
2/9/2020 1215/0815 *** Aug US ADP private payrolls 167 900 (k)
2/9/2020 1230/0830 * Q2 CA Labour productivity 3.4 -- %
2/9/2020 1345/0945 * Aug US ISM-NY current conditions -- --
2/9/2020 1400/1000 ** Jul US factory new orders 6.2 6 %
2/9/2020 1400/1000 ** Jul US factory orders ex transport 4.4 -- %
2/9/2020 1430/1030 ** 28-Aug US crude oil stocks ex. SPR w/w -- -- bbl (m)
3/9/2020 2300/0900 * Aug AU IHS Markit Final Australia Services PMI 48.1 --
3/9/2020 0030/0930 ** Aug JP IHS Markit Services PMI (f) 45 --
3/9/2020 0130/1130 AU SA Monthly Goods and Services Balance 8202 5000 AUD (m)
3/9/2020 0145/0945 ** Aug CN IHS Markit Services PMI (f) 54.1 54
3/9/2020 0630/0830 *** Aug CH CPI m/m -0.2 0.1 %
3/9/2020 0630/0830 *** Aug CH CPI y/y -0.9 -0.8 %
3/9/2020 0630/0830 ** Aug SE Services PMI 54.8 --
3/9/2020 0700/0300 * Aug TR CPI MM -- -- %
3/9/2020 0700/0300 * Aug TR CPI YY -- -- %
3/9/2020 0750/0950 ** Aug FR IHS Markit Services PMI (f) 51.9 51.9
3/9/2020 0755/0955 ** Aug DE IHS Markit Services PMI (f) 50.8 50.8
3/9/2020 0800/1000 ** Aug EU IHS Markit Services PMI (f) 50.1 50.1
3/9/2020 0830/0930 ** Aug UK IHS Markit/CIPS Services PMI (Final) 60.1 60.1
3/9/2020 0900/1100 ** Jul EU retail sales m/m 5.7 1.4 %
3/9/2020 0900/1100 ** Jul EU retail sales y/y wda 1.3 3 %
3/9/2020 1130/0730 * Aug US challenger layoff plans 576.1 -- %
3/9/2020 1230/0830 ** 29-Aug US jobless claims 1006 950 (k)
3/9/2020 1230/0830 ** Jul CA Trade balance -0.677 -2.3 CAD (b)
3/9/2020 1230/0830 ** Jul US trade balance -50.7 -57 USD (b)
3/9/2020 1230/0830 ** Q2 US non-farm productivity (f) 7.3 7.4 %
3/9/2020 1230/0830 ** Q2 US unit labor costs (f) 12.2 12.1 %
3/9/2020 1345/0945 *** Aug US IHS Markit Services Index (final) 54.8 54.7
3/9/2020 1400/1000 *** Aug US ISM Non-manufacturing Index 58.1 57
3/9/2020 1430/1030 ** 28-Aug US natural gas stocks w/w -- -- Bcf
3/9/2020 2030/1630 ** 2-Sep US Fed weekly securities holdings -- -- USD (t)
4/9/2020 0130/1130 AU Turnover at current prices, % change m/m, seasonally adjusted 2.7 3.3 %
4/9/2020 0600/0800 ** Jul DE manufacturing orders y/y wda -11.3 -6 %
4/9/2020 0600/0800 ** Jul DE manufacturing orders m/m 27.9 5 %
4/9/2020 0730/0930 ** Aug EU IHS Markit Construction PMI -- --
4/9/2020 0830/0930 ** Aug UK IHS Markit/CIPS Construction PMI 58.1 58.1
4/9/2020 1230/0830 *** Aug CA Employment 418.5 250 (k)
4/9/2020 1230/0830 *** Aug CA Unemployment rate 10.9 10.1 %
4/9/2020 1230/0830 *** Aug US average hourly earnings 0.2 0 %
4/9/2020 1230/0830 *** Aug US average workweek, all workers 34.5 34.5 hrs
4/9/2020 1230/0830 *** Aug US nonfarm payrolls 1763 1400 (k)
4/9/2020 1230/0830 *** Aug US private payrolls 1462 1275 (k)
4/9/2020 1230/0830 *** Aug US unemployment rate 10.2 9.8 %
4/9/2020 1400/1000 ** Aug CA Ivey PMI (SA) 68.5 --
4/9/2020 1500/1100 ** Q3 US St. Louis Fed Real GDP Nowcast -- -- %
4/9/2020 1515/1115 ** Q3 US NY Fed GDP Nowcast -- -- %
7/9/2020 0600/0800 ** Jul DE industrial production m/m -- -- %
7/9/2020 0600/0800 ** Jul DE industrial production wda y/y -- -- %
7/9/2020 0730/0830 * Aug UK Halifax house prices 3m y/y -- -- %
7/9/2020 - *** Aug CN exports y/y 7.2 -- %
7/9/2020 - *** Aug CN imports y/y -1.4 -- %
7/9/2020 - *** Aug CN trade balance 62.3 -- USD (b)
8/9/2020 2301/0001 * Aug UK BRC like for like sales y/y -- -- %
8/9/2020 2301/0001 * Aug UK BRC total sales y/y -- -- %
8/9/2020 2330/0830 ** Aug JP Household spending y/y -1.2 -- %
8/9/2020 2330/0830 ** Jul JP Base wages y/y 0.4 -- %
8/9/2020 2330/0830 ** Jul JP Real wages y/y -2.1 -- %
8/9/2020 2330/0830 ** Jul JP Total wages y/y -2 -- %
8/9/2020 2350/0850 ** Q2 JP GDP (r) annualized -27.8 -- %
8/9/2020 2350/0850 ** Q2 JP GDP (r) q/q -7.8 -- %
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