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Gold Prices Remain Firm Despite Sharp Fall in Negative-Yielding Debt

COMMODITIES
  • In the past few weeks, we saw that gold prices have remained firm despite the rise in real yields (i.e. fall in inflation expectations) and the sharp fall in the total amount of negative yielding debt.
  • The chart below shows the recent breakdown of the relationship between gold prices (in USD) and the total amount of negative-yield debt, which could be seen as a measure of market stress.
  • While the amount of debt yielding below has dropped from 14tr USD in mid December to below 5tr USD, gold prices have been oscillating around $1,800 (per ounce).
  • Investors’ interest for the precious metal could start to surge this year as global uncertainty rises due to DM tapering/normalization.
  • Gold confirmed its status of ‘zero-beta asset’ last month and appreciated up to $1,853 when volatility exploded mainly due to the Russia-related tensions.

Source: Bloomberg/MNI

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