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Goldman Sachs note that "in early........>

DOLLAR-IDR
DOLLAR-IDR: Goldman Sachs note that "in early June, we argued that, after rapid
Rupiah appreciation versus the Dollar, the pace of IDR outperformance could
slow. Since then, the IDR has depreciated versus the Dollar while other Asian
currencies have been more resilient. Against this backdrop of underperformance,
the announcement that Bank Indonesia would purchase large amounts of zero
interest bonds with the stated intention of helping to shoulder the country's
fiscal burden was unexpected. Much will depend on how inflation evolves in the
months ahead and how this tool will be used. If the BI can convince markets that
it will sterilize its liquidity injection appropriately, and that this unusual
central bank purchase is a one-off, then we think any IDR sell-off should be
limited. If, however, investors see potential for this tool to be used in more
normal times, the IDR could begin to reflect risks from a loss of confidence in
policy, and an increase in inflation expectations. An adverse market reaction
could see USD/IDR moving towards our 3-month forecast of IDR14800 in more a more
front-loaded fashion."
MNI London Bureau | +44 0203-865-3809 | anthony.barton@marketnews.com
MNI London Bureau | +44 0203-865-3809 | anthony.barton@marketnews.com

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