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Why MNI
MNI is the leading provider
of intelligence and analysis on the Global Fixed Income, Foreign Exchange and Energy markets. We use an innovative combination of real-time analysis, deep fundamental research and journalism to provide unique and actionable insights for traders and investors. Our "All signal, no noise" approach drives an intelligence service that is succinct and timely, which is highly regarded by our time constrained client base.Our Head Office is in London with offices in Chicago, Washington and Beijing, as well as an on the ground presence in other major financial centres across the world.
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Free AccessGoldman Sachs note that "the Real....>
BRAZILIAN REAL: Goldman Sachs note that "the Real has continued to underperform
its peers, and-after depreciating roughly 30% versus the Dollar-now features the
worst year-to-date performance of any major currency. The deep BRL
undervaluation this move has created continues to be offset by an unattractive
combination of high domestic uncertainty and low carry. Domestically, political
pressure on President Bolsonaro has been exacerbated by still-elevated
coronavirus incidence. And, with the COPOM delivering a larger-than-expected
75bp cut in the May meeting, and messaging that they stand ready to cut the
Selic policy rate to below 3% in future meetings, which can continue to drive
down real yields, the risk-reward for BRL longs continues to appear
unattractive, in our view. As a result, we are shifting our USD/BRL forecasts to
6, 5.75 and 5.25 in 3, 6 and 12 months, from 5.25, 4.90 and 4.70 previously,
effectively marking-to-market to the recent moves and building in the notion
that BRL is likely to trade weaker than fair value for a considerable period of
time."
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Why MNI
MNI is the leading provider
of intelligence and analysis on the Global Fixed Income, Foreign Exchange and Energy markets. We use an innovative combination of real-time analysis, deep fundamental research and journalism to provide unique and actionable insights for traders and investors. Our "All signal, no noise" approach drives an intelligence service that is succinct and timely, which is highly regarded by our time constrained client base.Our Head Office is in London with offices in Chicago, Washington and Beijing, as well as an on the ground presence in other major financial centres across the world.