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Higher Inventories, Slower Profit Growth, Wages Solid

AUSTRALIA DATA

Gross operating profits rose a lower-than-expected 0.5% in Q1 to be up 7.1% y/y after an upwardly revised 12.7% q/q and 16% y/y in Q4. Mining profits fell 2.2% q/q. But inventories rose solidly and while companies’ wages bills grew at a slower pace, they remain high. Watch unit labour costs in Wednesday’s Q1 national accounts.

  • Wages & salaries grew 1.8% q/q to be up 11.4% y/y. While still strong reflecting continued employment, hours and wages growth, the series slowed from Q4’s +2.7% q/q and 11.5% y/y.
  • Inventories rose 1.2% q/q, which was more than expected, and Q4 was revised up to +0.3%. Thus they look set to make a positive quarterly contribution to Wednesday’s Q1 GDP. After revisions this was the sixth consecutive quarter of stock build. They stand 4.1% above year ago levels, which is down from the Q3 2022 peak of 7.6% y/y, but may be signalling some involuntary inventory build in the face of slowing demand following the resolution of pandemic-related restocking. Retail inventories rose 0.9% q/q.
Australia total wages & salaries %

Source: MNI - Market News/ABS

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