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Home Sales Slow, With Rates Exerting Gravitational Pull On Demand

US
September saw a smaller-than-expected drop in existing home sales, but prior was revised lower, and it's the lowest number of home sales since May 2020. Ex-Pandemic, it's the lowest number of existing home sales since 2012.
  • The NAR points to low inventory (1.25mln units, down 0.8% Y/Y) representing a 3.2-month supply at the current sales pace, up from 2.4 months a year earlier, as supportive of prices in spite of soaring mortgage rates. Chart below shows total sales and months of implied supply.
  • So a mixed report, but clearly high mortgage costs are exerting a major gravitational force on US housing.
  • It's further evidence that the Fed's tightening this year has had a tangible impact in reducing demand.

Source: NAR, MNI

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