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Home Sales Stagnate On Strained Inventories As Prices Fall

US DATA

Existing home sales rose 0.2% M/M in May to a 4.3mln (SAAR), beating expectations of a 0.7% fall to 4.25mln - but prices recorded their largest drop since December 2011 at -3.1% Y/Y to US$396.1k.

  • The NAR told journalists (including MNI) that existing home sales have largely moved sideways in the past few months on "relatively stable" mortgage rates but transaction volume is significantly lower than last year, with down 20.4% Y/Y.
  • The broader picture is that of a housing market that is showing strained functioning. Around 1/3 of homes are being sold above list price, and days on the market are just 18 days, indicative of very limited inventory (under 3 months' worth, for the past 6 months).
  • One factor behind the lack of inventory is the reluctance of existing homeowners to give up low long-term fixed mortgage rates, in an environment of rising rates.
  • With existing home sales stagnant, housing activity in H2 is likely to revolve around new home construction and sales.

Source: NAR, BBG, MNI

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