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Free AccessHormuz Strait Blockade Could Drive TTF to 95-180€/MWh: Aurora Energy
A blockade of the Strait of Hormuz, controlled by Iran and Oman, could drive European benchmark Dutch TTF gas prices to average between 95-180€/MWh this winter amid limited flexibility to replace disrupted supply according to Montel citing Sophie Parsons at Aurora Energy Research.
- One of the most extreme reactions from Iran in the event of an escalation of the Hamas-Israel conflict could be to enforce a blockade of shipping through the Hormuz Strait.
- The likeliness of this scenario of Iran being drawn into a widening war with the US is low but it could halt shipments of all LNG out of the Persian Gulf impacting global markets.
- LNG supplies from Qatar and UAE together account for about 120bcm/a or 22% of global LNG trade.
To read the full story
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Why MNI
MNI is the leading provider
of intelligence and analysis on the Global Fixed Income, Foreign Exchange and Energy markets. We use an innovative combination of real-time analysis, deep fundamental research and journalism to provide unique and actionable insights for traders and investors. Our "All signal, no noise" approach drives an intelligence service that is succinct and timely, which is highly regarded by our time constrained client base.Our Head Office is in London with offices in Chicago, Washington and Beijing, as well as an on the ground presence in other major financial centres across the world.