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Ibovespa Index Plumbs Fresh 2021 Lows

BRAZIL
  • Brazil's stock market index reached its lowest level in a year on Wednesday as commodities weakened and technology stocks declined; there is potential for metals to further weigh on the market again as iron ore continues its downtrend.
  • Swap rates continue their volatile swings with renewed pressure on the currency prompting a shift higher for DI swap rates in the past few sessions.
    • Treasury will offer fixed bonds maturing in 2022, 2023, 2025, 2027 and 2031; size and price of the auction may be a minor driver in a session free of clear catalysts.
  • With some analysts predicting a recession next year, Economy Minister Paulo Guedes said yesterday that he disagrees with these bank forecasts for Brazil's GDP.
  • However, Guedes warned that he would become more concerned over growth if congress fails to pass the spending cap adjustment bill along with limiting the court ordered payments.
    • Senate will start discussing the bill next Monday according to Agencia Senado; text was already approved by the Lower House and now needs to clear the Senate in two separate votes without any major change to its content. (BBG)
  • A very thin local agenda keeps the focus domestically on mid-month inflation data due next Thursday.

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