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IMF Expect Start of OPEC+ Supply Return in July

OIL

The International Monetary Fund expects OPEC+ to start increasing oil output gradually from July.

  • “We are assuming the full reversal of cuts is happening at the beginning of 2025,” Amine Mati said.
  • IMF has improved the 2025 growth estimate for Saudi Arbia from 5.5% to 6% with estimations of Saudi oil output reaching 10mb/d in early 2025 from the current level of around 9mb/d.
  • Saudi Arabia says it has production capacity of around 12mb/d.
  • Saudi Arabia may opt to increase output as it faces fiscal deficits and with crude prices still below budget requirements.

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