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Infineon upgraded to BBB+[S] On Resilient OCF

TECHNOLOGY


  • S&P see the doubling of their annual revenue base as allowing for S&P-adj EBITDA margin >30% and FOCF of EUR >1bn over the cycle despite flat expected revenue this year.
  • S&P see 10% growth in FY24 demand for chips despite flat auto production outlook (‘digitalisation’ of autos is supportive) though top line revenue seen at -2% on the back of inventory adjustments, consumer electronics demand dip, and EUR strength vs. USD.
  • S&P adj-EBITDA leverage seen below 1x through FY25 as supported by the financial policy of maintaining EUR >1bn cash and a gross leverage <2x (equiv. to S&P-adj leverage of 1.5x).
  • Infineon spreads have performed well year-to-date – their EUR 26s have tightened 13bps vs. govies with short-end spreads tightening against A-rated ASML equivalents.





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