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SWEDEN

Swedish inflation is due for release at 8:30BST and is widely expected by analysts to come in above the Riksbank's estimate of 1.16%Y/Y for CPIF (consensus 1.6%) and 0.32%Y/Y for CPIF excluding energy (consensus 0.5%).

  • Morgan Stanley looks for CPIF at a below-consensus 1.5% Y/Y. It notes that " With a stronger krona weighing on import prices, inflation will continue to be subdued. Weight changes - which pushed inflation higher earlier in the year - will also weigh in the summer. But higher commodity prices and global supply chain disruptions push our forecasts above the Riksbank's July projections."
  • Swedbank looks for inflation in line with consensus (CPIF at 1.6%Y/Y, core at 0.5%Y/Y). It states that "a considerable part of the decline in underlying inflation originates from technical factors. In July, the basket effect from this year's lower weights to primarily service-related CPI items will exert its most negative contribution to inflation according to Statistics Sweden."
MNI London Bureau | +44 203-865-3820 | tim.davis@marketnews.com
MNI London Bureau | +44 203-865-3820 | tim.davis@marketnews.com

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