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Inflation Matches Market Expectations

NZD

NZD/USD posted an unimpressive 10 pip knee-jerk higher in reaction to the release of in-line inflation figures for the first quarter. The rate has lost some altitude since and last trades at $0.7164, 10 pips worse off on the day.

  • New Zealand's annual rate of inflation rose to +1.5% from +1.4%, while the quarterly rate registered at +0.8% after printing at +0.5% in Q4.
  • The figures matched market expectations, but slightly missed the RBNZ's forecasts from the latest MPS. Consumer prices were projected to rise 1.7% Y/Y & 1.0% Q/Q in the first quarter.
  • Stats NZ flagged that housing and transportation costs were the main drivers behind the quarterly rise in prices.
  • The RBNZ will release their preferred metric of core inflation (sectoral factor model) at 15:00 NZST/04:00 BST.

Fig. 1: New Zealand CPI Y/Y (%)*

Source: MNI - Market News/Bloomberg


*shaded region indicates the RBNZ's inflation target

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