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ISM Services New Orders and Prices Tumble

US DATA
  • Big miss for ISM services, falling to 51.2 in March (cons 54.4) after two surprisingly strong 55 readings and in turn is consistent with much more tepid, but still positive, real GDP growth.
  • Particularly large decline in new orders (52.2, -10.4pts). The series has been particularly volatile in the past few months so it’s still above the 45.2 in Dec but otherwise the lowest since Dec’13 outside of two months in the pandemic.
  • It's led by new export orders tumbling to 43.7 (-18.0pts), exceeding the -17.4pts from Oct for the largest monthly decline since at least 2000.
  • Prices paid (59.5, -6.1pts) see their largest decline since May’17 to leave them at the lowest since Jun’20.
  • Ahead of payrolls, employment (51.3, -2.7pts) unwinds most of the surprise strength in Feb with its third largest decline of the past year.

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