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Italy July Industrial Production Preview

ITALY DATA
MNI (London)
Consensus: +3.5% m/m; -9.8% y/y; Prev (Jun): +8.2% m/m, -13.7% y/y
  • Italian IP is forecast to recover further in Jul, although at a slower speed of 3.5% on a monthly basis.
  • Output took a big hit in Mar and Apr when the economy was under lockdown but rebounded sharply in May when monthly IP jumped 41.6%.
  • In June, production showed another strong growth rate of 8.2% m/m, while the annual rate continued to register a negative reading of -13.7%.
  • Italy's mfg PMI improved further in Aug, rising to a two-year high due to both output and new orders showing the sharpest increase since Feb 2018.
  • According to the EZ mfg PMI report, Italy led the way in terms of growth within the EZ in Aug, recording its best improvement in operating conditions for 26-months.
  • Similarly, Istat's mfg confidence index rose slightly in August, with opinions on order books increasing, while expectations on production declined.
MNI London Bureau | +44 203-865-3814 | irene.prihoda@marketnews.com
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