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It was a very quiet session for the....>

AUSSIE BONDS
AUSSIE BONDS: It was a very quiet session for the space. The RBA left the cash
rate unch. at 1.5% as exp., maintaining its central view on the AU econ, but
adopted a more downbeat tone on the Chinese econ & highlighted the risks from
U.S. trade pol. The Bank flagged lower inflation in '18, with slightly higher
inflation in '19 & '20, giving a nod to adjustments in the SOMP. The Bank also
stated that it exp. the jobless rate to decline over the next couple of years,
to ~5% (prev 5.25%), perhaps another adjustment for the SOMP. On housing the
Bank continued to note the decline in Sydney & Melbourne prices. The Bank also
noted the recent downtick from cycle highs in funding rates & also pointed to
avg. mortgage rates being lower than a year ago.
- Bonds operated in a narrow range. The domestic 3-/10-Year yield differential
has flattened by 2.8bp, with cash bonds back into the swing of things after
yesterday's Sydney bank holiday. Repo rates have settled into 40/45bp over OIS,
while 3-Month BBSW fixed ~0.2bp lower. The Bill strip trades unch. to 2 ticks
higher.
- RBA Gov. Lowe is due up on Wednesday, with the RBA's SOMP due Friday.
MNI London Bureau | +44 0203-865-3809 | anthony.barton@marketnews.com
MNI London Bureau | +44 0203-865-3809 | anthony.barton@marketnews.com

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