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Kyiv Claims Village Taken As Southern Counteroffensive Intensifies

UKRAINE

Ukrainian President Volodymyr Zelenskyy claimed late on 27 July that his country's forces have retaken the village of Staromaiorske in the Donetsk oblast as its counteroffensive against Russian troops continues in the south and east of Ukraine. The village sits in a strategically important position, 5km from the village of Staromlynivka to the south that military analysts identify as a Russian stronghold in the region. If Staromlynivka can be taken it would mark a breach of the Russian's second defensive line, potentially allowing Ukrainian troops to break through in their efforts to reach the Sea of Azov and cut off Russian troops to the west in the Kherson and Zaporizhzhia oblasts, as well as the Crimea.

  • Despite this apparent success, the progress of Ukraine's advance remains slow given that Russian troops have heavily dug in along fortified lines intended to halt both ground troops as well as mechanised battalions. Politico reports that the US-made Abrams M1A1 tanks are expected to reach the Ukrainian front lines by September. The heavy American hardware could prove crucial in providing enough firepower to break through the Russian lines.
  • It remains to be seen whether Russian President Vladimir Putin is forced into a risky second mobilisation in order to bolster his forces in the face of Ukraine's attack. Russia's casualties have so far been higher than Ukraine's, but as Kyiv ramps up its counteroffensive this situation could change in the face of embedded Russian forces.
Map of Front Lines in Ukraine as of 1500ET 27 July, (Cursor on Map indicates location of Staromaiorske)

Source: Institute for the Study of War

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