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AUD/USD declined on a stronger greenback, the pair bottomed out at 0.7711 before bouncing slightly. Last down 2 pips at 0.7725.
- UK PM Johnsons has kept the prospect of tariff free food trade with Australia on the table, fueling speculation of a deal with Australia that has faced opposition from UK farmers.
- CBA are still positive on the outlook for AUD. "AUD/USD has been trading in a range of 0.7580‑0.7980 this year following a 36% rebound since its pandemic low. We consider Australia's relatively slow vaccine roll‑out has been partly holding back AUD, relative to high commodity prices. Vaccine hesitancy in Australia remains high largely because of concerns about side effects (see here for more). However, once concerns about slow vaccination drive fade, we expect AUD to lift back above 0.8000."
- From a technical perspective AUD/USD faced selling pressure Wednesday. A bearish theme remains in place following last week's move lower to 0.7688 on May 13. A firm support zone has been defined at 0.7688-75, the latter is the May 4 low. Clearance of this zone would strengthen a bearish case and signal scope for a deeper pullback towards 0.7586, the Apr 13 low. Initial firm resistance is at 0.7813, May 18 high ahead of the key resistance at 0.7891, May 10 high.
- Labour market data is the highlight on Thursday due at 0230BST, the unemployment rate is expected to stay at 5.6% with a net gain of 20k jobs. Also on the docket are consumer inflation expectations at 0200BST/1100AEST.
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Why MNI
MNI is the leading provider
of intelligence and analysis on the Global Fixed Income, Foreign Exchange and Energy markets. We use an innovative combination of real-time analysis, deep fundamental research and journalism to provide unique and actionable insights for traders and investors. Our "All signal, no noise" approach drives an intelligence service that is succinct and timely, which is highly regarded by our time constrained client base.Our Head Office is in London with offices in Chicago, Washington and Beijing, as well as an on the ground presence in other major financial centres across the world.