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Late Wednesday saw Goldman Sachs note that....>

FOREX
FOREX: Late Wednesday saw Goldman Sachs note that "while EUR-funded EM FX has
been an attractive trade over most of the past two years, the case for Euro (vs.
Dollar) funding has faded over time: (i) EUR funding could limit gains in a
global cyclical recovery and equity rally, as it did in 2017, (ii) the relative
carry advantage of EUR funding has fallen, and (iii) the case for US vs Euro
area outperformance now appears less clear. While the case is growing for Dollar
shorts. In our view, investors should consider shifting from Euro to Dollar
funding for the more positive macro stories in EM FX, conditional on the
continued success of the global reopening. Short USD/CEE provides a
higher-octane exposure to the Euro area recovery, and we have recommended going
short USD/PLN; a short USD/MXN view offers both significant room to retrace YTD
losses and a high "beta" to an equity rally, and we think RUB longs offer decent
risk-reward vs USD."
MNI London Bureau | +44 0203-865-3809 | anthony.barton@marketnews.com
MNI London Bureau | +44 0203-865-3809 | anthony.barton@marketnews.com

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