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Lower Real Yields Help Support Sentiment

US TSYS
  • The current 7bp decline in the 10Y nominal yield is driven by both lower real yields (-4bps) and inflation breakeven (-3bps).
  • This is the second day of lower real yields for an almost 15bp drop over the past two days, helping provide some buffer to risk-off sentiment and coming ahead of the TIPS auction later.
  • The decline in the inflation breakeven follows yesterday’s move sideways (when the bond rally was carried entirely by real yields), having shifted higher over the past week but still below levels from recent months at 2.71%.

10Y nominal yield (white), real yield (green) and breakeven (yellow)Source: Bloomberg

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