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March CPI Below Consensus

SWITZERLAND DATA

Swiss headline CPI was 1.0% Y/Y and 0.0% M/M in March (vs 1.2% Y/Y, 0.6% M/M prior). Analysts had forecasted a headline print of 1.3% Y/Y and 0.3% M/M.

  • Core CPI also printed at 1.0% Y/Y, with the monthly reading at 0.1% M/M (vs 1.1% Y/Y, 0.7% M/M prior).
  • Domestic product inflation was 1.8% Y/Y and -0.2% M/M (vs 1.9% Y/Y, 0.5% M/M prior), while imported product inflation remained negative on an annual basis at -1.3% Y/Y and 0.7% M/M (vs -1.0% Y/Y, 1.0% M/M prior).
  • This means Q1 Swiss headline CPI averaged 1.17% Y/Y, broadly in line with the SNB’s March monetary policy meeting projections (of 1.2%).
  • The CHF has unsurprisingly weakened on the release, with EURCHF 0.5% higher at typing. The cross has now weakened around 1.6% since immediately before the March monetary policy decision, where the SNB unexpectedly cut rates 25bps to 1.5%.
  • Per the press release: “Prices for international package holidays and air transport increased, as well as those for clothing and footwear. In contrast, prices for supplementary accommodation and cars decreased, as did those for hire of private means of transport”.

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Swiss headline CPI was 1.0% Y/Y and 0.0% M/M in March (vs 1.2% Y/Y, 0.6% M/M prior). Analysts had forecasted a headline print of 1.3% Y/Y and 0.3% M/M.

  • Core CPI also printed at 1.0% Y/Y, with the monthly reading at 0.1% M/M (vs 1.1% Y/Y, 0.7% M/M prior).
  • Domestic product inflation was 1.8% Y/Y and -0.2% M/M (vs 1.9% Y/Y, 0.5% M/M prior), while imported product inflation remained negative on an annual basis at -1.3% Y/Y and 0.7% M/M (vs -1.0% Y/Y, 1.0% M/M prior).
  • This means Q1 Swiss headline CPI averaged 1.17% Y/Y, broadly in line with the SNB’s March monetary policy meeting projections (of 1.2%).
  • The CHF has unsurprisingly weakened on the release, with EURCHF 0.5% higher at typing. The cross has now weakened around 1.6% since immediately before the March monetary policy decision, where the SNB unexpectedly cut rates 25bps to 1.5%.
  • Per the press release: “Prices for international package holidays and air transport increased, as well as those for clothing and footwear. In contrast, prices for supplementary accommodation and cars decreased, as did those for hire of private means of transport”.