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of intelligence and analysis on the Global Fixed Income, Foreign Exchange and Energy markets. We use an innovative combination of real-time analysis, deep fundamental research and journalism to provide unique and actionable insights for traders and investors. Our "All signal, no noise" approach drives an intelligence service that is succinct and timely, which is highly regarded by our time constrained client base.Our Head Office is in London with offices in Chicago, Washington and Beijing, as well as an on the ground presence in other major financial centres across the world.
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Free AccessMarket Roundup: Digesting Fed Speak Mash-Up
Tsy futures back to trading mixed after testing late overnight highs a few minutes ago. Trading desks citing Fed Harker comment on a 50bp hike is "still a substantial move" for latest bounce after conceding there is no decision yet on the size of a hike at the Sep FOMC.
- Earlier Fed speak leaned hawkish (but not groundbreaking) as Bostic said strong data could tip Fed toward 75bp, KC Fed George: rates could exceed 4%.
- Futures hold inside range after setting session lows on lower than expected weekly claims at 243k vs. 252k est, first revision of Q2 GDP is -0.6% vs. -0.7% est. Yield curves currently mixed after extending highs 2s10s currently at -28.112 vs. -25.669 high.
- Technicals: Treasuries maintain a bearish tone and the contract is trading closer to its recent lows. 117-07, 61.8% of the Jun 14 - Aug 2 bull cycle, has been pierced. A clear break of this area of support would strengthen the bearish case and signal scope for an extension lower towards 116-26+ next, the Jun 29 low. On the upside, initial firm resistance is seen at the 20-day EMA, at 118-26+.
- Fed-speak done for the day, focus turns to KC Fed's annual Jackson Hole Economic Symposium: Reassessing Constraints on the Economy and Policy, agenda release tonight at 2000ET; Chairman Powell speaks Fri at 1000ET (0800 local), text is expected but no Q&A.
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Why MNI
MNI is the leading provider
of intelligence and analysis on the Global Fixed Income, Foreign Exchange and Energy markets. We use an innovative combination of real-time analysis, deep fundamental research and journalism to provide unique and actionable insights for traders and investors. Our "All signal, no noise" approach drives an intelligence service that is succinct and timely, which is highly regarded by our time constrained client base.Our Head Office is in London with offices in Chicago, Washington and Beijing, as well as an on the ground presence in other major financial centres across the world.