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FOREX: Markets take a breather ahead of heavy data schedule this week
- Consolidation was the overriding theme on Monday, USD continued its reversing
trend against the majors before staging a late recovery. ECB Villeroy remarks
that said QE could end in Sep or Dec and a change in rates could come quarters
and not years after, set the tone. EURUSD squeezed $1.1998 in early NY before
fading. the 200-dma remains key resistance at $1.2021.
- GBPUSD extended its recovery off last week's pullback lows of $1.3460 to make
a brief show above $1.3600. GBPJPY traded above Y149.00 but failed to challenge
the 200-dma (Y149.26). EURGBP flirted with the 100-dma (Gbp0.8808).
- Despite the USD under pressure, NZD failed to benefit and was the biggest
faller in G10 with losses of 0.74%. AUDNZD traded above the 200-dma (NZ$1.0884)
and will be monitored on a closing basis.
- CAD held firm supported by weekend US-China optimism. Markets will focus
toward the end of the week with the NAFTA negotiation deadline on Thursday,
followed on Friday by CPI & Retail Sales.
- USDCHF touched lows of Chf0.9958, before bouncing to flirt with parity.