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MNI EGB Issuance, Redemption and Cash Flow Matrix - W/C Mar 13

  • The Netherlands, Italy, Germany, Spain and France all look to issue next week. We pencil in gross nominal issuance of E37.8bln next week, up from this week’s E15.7bln.
  • The upcoming week sees a E15.0bln redemption of a formerly 7-year BTP and coupon payments of E4.6bln (of which E2.7bln are Italian and E1.1bln Belgian).
  • With estimated gross nominal issuance of E37.8bln next week, we look for net flows of positive E18.1bln in the week ahead, compared to this week’s negative E0.4bln.
For more see the full PDF here:

EZ230313.pdf

Week Ahead Supply

  • The Netherlands will kick off next week’s issuance with E1.5-2.0bln of the 0.75% Jul-27 DSL (ISIN: NL0012171458) on offer on Tuesday morning.
  • Also Tuesday, Italy will look to launch a new 3-year BTP as well as sell on-the-run 7/50-year BTPs and the 2035 Green BTP: E3.5-4.0bln of the new 3.80% Apr-26 BTP (ISIN: IT0005538597), E2.5-3.0bln of the 3.85% Dec-29 BTP (ISIN: IT0005519787), E1.5-2.0bln of the 4.00% Apr-35 BTP Green (ISIN: IT0005508590) and E500-750mln of the 2.15% Mar-72 BTP (ISIN: IT0005441883).
  • Finally on Tuesday, Germany will look to sell E5bln of the 2.20% Apr-28 Bobl (ISIN: DE000BU25000).
  • On Wednesday, Germany will return to the market for a 30-year Bund auction. On offer will be E1.0bln of the 0% Aug-50 Bund (ISIN: DE0001102481) and E1.5bln of the 1.80% Aug-53 Bund (ISIN: DE0001102614).
  • On Thursday, Spain will look to sell the 0% Jan-28 Obli (ISIN: ES0000012I08), the 3.15% Apr-33 Obli (ISIN: ES0000012L52) and the 1.90% Oct-52 Obli (ISIN: ES0000012K46). The auction size will be announced on Monday.
  • France will then look to sell E10.5-12.0bln of MT OATs. On offer will be the 2.50% Sep-26 OAT (ISIN: FR001400FYQ4), the 0.75% Feb-28 OAT (ISIN: FR001400AIN5) and the 0% Nov-30 OAT (ISIN: FR0013516549).
  • France will conclude bond issuance for the week later on Thursday with E1.0-1.5bln of I/L OATs on offer: the 0.10% Mar-29 OATei (ISIN: FR0013410552), the 0.10% Jul-53 OATei (ISIN: FR0014008181) and the 0.10% Mar-36 OATi (ISIN: FR0013524014).
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