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Mixed Reversal Of Yesterday’s Bull Flattening

CANADA
  • GoCs have largely reversed yesterday’s bull flattening in 2s10s, with 2Y yields up more than 5bps having touched new highs of 2.093% and 10Y yields up 9bps at 2.395%, 2bps shy of Tuesday’s highs.
  • However, with a largely parallel shift in 5Y and 30Y tenors, the section of the curve that saw the largest flattening yesterday, 5s30s at ~23bp remains the flattest since Mar-2020 and only ~20bps off Dec-2019 flats (aside from the Mar 9, 2020 spike lower).
  • Parliamentary Budget Officer Giroux estimates that Canada would need to set aside C$20-25B per year to meet NATO’s defence spending target in order to increase spending from 1.4% GDP currently to 2% GDP.

Source: Bloomberg

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