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Why MNI
MNI is the leading provider
of intelligence and analysis on the Global Fixed Income, Foreign Exchange and Energy markets. We use an innovative combination of real-time analysis, deep fundamental research and journalism to provide unique and actionable insights for traders and investors. Our "All signal, no noise" approach drives an intelligence service that is succinct and timely, which is highly regarded by our time constrained client base.Our Head Office is in London with offices in Chicago, Washington and Beijing, as well as an on the ground presence in other major financial centres across the world.
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Free AccessMixed Stocks, Muted Risk Appetite, CPI Revisions
US stocks open, trading mixed w/Dow Industrials gaining (106.17 points (0.3%) at 35191.16), SPX eminis modestly weaker (-5.75 points (-0.13%) at 4468.75) holding to narrow range, NASDAQ weaker (-39.4 points (-0.3%) at 13969.8). Risk appetite looks muted ahead of Thu's CPI inflation data, (0.6% revised, vs. 0.5% prior).
- Technicals: SPX eminis still trading below recent highs and below the 50-day EMA that intersects at 4565.55 today. This average remains a key pivot resistance where a break is required to suggest scope for a stronger rally that would initially open 4671.75, the Jan 18 high. For bears, a resumption of weakness would refocus attention on 4212.75, the Jan 24 low and a key support.
- On this morning's CPI seasonal revisions (data available on request, BLS site not updated until 1100ET), JP Morgan economists said the "underlying data (before seasonal adjustment) did not change, and the %oya price increases through December were unaffected and continue to look strong (headline: 7.0%, core: 5.5%)."
- JPM posited the "story on inflation has not changed much—the headline CPI surged 8.9% saar over the three months through December (9.1% before the revisions), and the core CPI is now reported up 7.0% saar over these three months (6.9% before the revisions)."
- JPM forecast for Thu's January CPI "is not meaningfully impacted by the revised seasonal factors, and we still look for 0.4% monthly increases in both the headline and core CPI measures, with the core change at 0.44% to two decimals."
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Why MNI
MNI is the leading provider
of intelligence and analysis on the Global Fixed Income, Foreign Exchange and Energy markets. We use an innovative combination of real-time analysis, deep fundamental research and journalism to provide unique and actionable insights for traders and investors. Our "All signal, no noise" approach drives an intelligence service that is succinct and timely, which is highly regarded by our time constrained client base.Our Head Office is in London with offices in Chicago, Washington and Beijing, as well as an on the ground presence in other major financial centres across the world.