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Mixed Takeaways From CPI Dispersion Measures

US DATA
  • Looking at the breadth of inflationary pressure of 57 items across the entire CPI basket rather than just core in May, there were generally more items at either end of the spectrum compared to April's cleared trend improvement.
  • The share of categories rising in excess of 3% annualized increased from 37% to 46% (and >5% from 32% to 37%) as it partly reversed a sizeable improvement in April, back above the 2019 average of 41%. There’s a similar trend for a >5% equivalent, rising from 32% to 37% although that very strong category remains the main difference to 2019’s average of 25%.
  • On the flipside though, the share of categories seeing outright deflation on the month increased from 40% to 42% for a new high this cycle, above the 2019 average of 38%.

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