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Mixed Takeaways From SEPH Report

CANADA
  • Within the details of the SEPH report for October, the fixed weight measure of wage growth bounced back to 4.0% Y/Y from 3.5%.
  • It’s still notably weaker than other measures growing at 5-5.5% Y/Y but does buck some of its latest trend moderation (see chart).
  • On the flipside, vacancies fell more than 80k in the month to the lowest since February, with the vacancy rate of 5% down from summer highs of 6%. The ratio to unemployed of 1:1 sees little change though, suggesting continued issues matching labor despite some improvement at the margin (albeit with a lack of historical data for better comparison).
  • Focus remains on the regular employment report for December on Jan 6.

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