Free Trial

MNI 5 THINGS: BOJ Sep Tankan: Biz Short-Term CPI Outlook Slips

MNI (London)
     TOKYO (MNI) - The short-term inflation outlook among Japanese companies
fell slightly from three months ago but medium- to long-term inflation outlook
was unchanged from June, indicating the pace of a pickup in consumer prices will
remain slow, the Bank of Japan's quarterly Tankan survey for September showed .
     The inflation outlook follows the main Tankan results released Monday, that
showed a slight worsening of business sentiment, hit by rising costs, labor
shortages and uncertainty over the impact of U.S. trade disputes on global
demand.
     The survey, published Tuesday, was conducted from August 27 to September
28.
     The key points from the inflation outlook section of the Tankan follow.
     --In the September survey, companies on average saw a slightly slower pace
of increase in consumer prices for one year ahead, compared to the previous
survey, while leaving their inflation forecasts for three and five years ahead
unchanged.
     --Firms on average expect the annual consumer inflation rate at 0.8% a year
from now, down from 0.9% in June. But companies expect a 1.1% rise for both
three and five years ahead, unchanged from June.
     --Many companies -- 33% of those polled, the same as in the previous survey
-- expect the inflation rate to be about 1% in 12 months. The survey showed that
12% of all firms (12% previously) projected 2% inflation a year ahead while 36%
(35% three months earlier) saw a flat inflation rate during the same period.
     --Smaller firms continued to project higher inflation than larger
corporations because they tend to be hit harder by rising costs and a tighter
labor supply.
     --The survey showed companies on average expect sales prices to rise 0.8% a
year from now, up from +0.7% in June. They saw an increase of 1.3% three years
ahead, also up from +1.2% in June, but left their five-year sales price forecast
at 1.5%.
--MNI Tokyo Bureau; tel: +81 90-2175-0040; email: hiroshi.inoue@marketnews.com
--MNI London Bureau; tel: +44 203-586-2225; email: les.commons@marketnews.com
[TOPICS: MAJDS$,MAUDR$,MAUDS$,MMJBJ$,MMUFE$,M$A$$$,M$J$$$,M$U$$$]
MNI London Bureau | +44 203-865-3812 | les.commons@marketnews.com

To read the full story

Close

Why MNI

MNI is the leading provider

of intelligence and analysis on the Global Fixed Income, Foreign Exchange and Energy markets. We use an innovative combination of real-time analysis, deep fundamental research and journalism to provide unique and actionable insights for traders and investors. Our "All signal, no noise" approach drives an intelligence service that is succinct and timely, which is highly regarded by our time constrained client base.

Our Head Office is in London with offices in Chicago, Washington and Beijing, as well as an on the ground presence in other major financial centres across the world.