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Free AccessMNI 5 Things: Looking For Overall Optimism in RBA Policy
By Sophia Rodrigues
SYDNEY (MNI) - Following are the five key things we would be looking for in
the Reserve Bank of Australia's Statement on Monetary Policy due at 1130 hours
Sydney Friday (0130 hours GMT):
--Both headline and underlying inflation forecast for June 2020 which is
the end period of published forecasts. Expectation is for the forecasts to be
maintained at 2.25% but there's a small chance it may be raised to 2.5%. If it
does it would be viewed as hawkish and without it, the balance of risks on
inflation will be important comments to watch for.
--Discussion on rise in money market rates and how persistent the RBA
thinks it is, and how much it impacts funding costs of banks. The RBA may
discuss the likely (and unlikely) flow-on impact of the higher funding costs on
overall funding costs, mortgage and business lending rates, and deposit rates.
Also any discussion on tightening credit standards.
--Discussion on spare capacity in the economy beyond the labor market and
related to this, upgraded view on non-mining investment.
--How RBA characterizes the risks from slowing housing market
--The RBA's upgraded view on global inflation with higher oil and base
metals included in the discussion, monetary policy moves by global central banks
and its impact on Australian dollar.
--MNI Sydney Bureau; tel: +61 2-9716-5467; email: sophia.rodrigues@marketnews.com
[TOPICS: MMLRB$,M$A$$$,M$L$$$,MT$$$$]
To read the full story
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Why MNI
MNI is the leading provider
of intelligence and analysis on the Global Fixed Income, Foreign Exchange and Energy markets. We use an innovative combination of real-time analysis, deep fundamental research and journalism to provide unique and actionable insights for traders and investors. Our "All signal, no noise" approach drives an intelligence service that is succinct and timely, which is highly regarded by our time constrained client base.Our Head Office is in London with offices in Chicago, Washington and Beijing, as well as an on the ground presence in other major financial centres across the world.