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EXECUTIVE SUMMARY

US

US TSYS

OVERNIGHT DATA

MARKETS SNAPSHOT

US TSY FUTURES CLOSE

‌‌US 10Y FUTURES TECH:‌‌‌‌ (U2)‌‌ Watching Trendline Support

  • RES 4: 123-13+ 1.764 proj of the 14 - 23 - 28 price swing
  • RES 3: 122-29+ High Mar 31
  • RES 2: 122-25 2.0% 10-dma envelope
  • RES 1: 120-29/122-02 High Aug 4 / High Aug 02
  • PRICE: 119-20+ @ 11:14 BST Aug 08
  • SUP 1: 119-05+ 50-day EMA
  • SUP 2: 118-03 Trendline support drawn from the Jun 16 low
  • SUP 3: 117-14+ Low Jul 21 and key near-term support
  • SUP 4: 116-11 Low Jun 28

Treasuries traded lower Friday and in the process cleared a number of support levels. The trend direction remains up though and recent weakness is considered corrective. The contract has remained above support at the 50-day EMA, which intersects at 119-05+. Just below this level is a trendline support at 119-03. A break of this zone would threaten the uptrend. A reversal higher would refocus attention on the bull trigger at 122-02.

US EURODOLLAR FUTURES CLOSE

SHORT TERM RATES

US DOLLAR LIBOR: Latest settlements

  • O/N +0.00529 to 2.31729% (-0.00957 total last wk)
  • 1M +0.01914 to 2.38857% (+0.00714 total last wk)
  • 3M +0.04486 to 2.91157% (+0.07842 total last wk) * / **
  • 6M +0.14329 to 3.56886% (+0.09571 total last wk)
  • 12M +0.13485 to 3.99471% (+0.15257 total last wk)
  • * Record Low 0.11413% on 9/12/21; ** New 24Y high: 2.91157% on 8/8/22
STIR: FRBNY EFFR for prior session:
  • Daily Effective Fed Funds Rate: 2.33% volume: $91B
  • Daily Overnight Bank Funding Rate: 2.32% volume: $282B
US TSYS: Repo Reference Rates
  • Secured Overnight Financing Rate (SOFR): 2.28%, $965B
  • Broad General Collateral Rate (BGCR): 2.26%, $391B
  • Tri-Party General Collateral Rate (TGCR): 2.26%, $380B
  • (rate, volume levels reflect prior session)

FED Reverse Repo Operation

NY Federal Reserve/MNI

NY Fed reverse repo usage inches higher to $2,195.692B w/ 102 counterparties vs. $2,194.927B prior session. Record high still stands at $2,329.743B from Thursday June 30.

PIPELINE

EGBs

FOREX

Tuesday Data Calendar

DateGMT/LocalImpactFlagCountryEvent
09/08/20222301/0001*UKBRC-KPMG Shop Sales Monitor
09/08/20220900/1000**UKGilt Outright Auction Result
09/08/20221000/0600**USNFIB Small Business Optimism Index
09/08/20221230/0830**USPreliminary Non-Farm Productivity
09/08/20221255/0855**USRedbook Retail Sales Index
09/08/20221400/1000**USIBD/TIPP Optimism Index
09/08/20221530/1130**USUS Treasury Auction Result for 52 Week Bill
09/08/20221700/1300***USUS Note 03 Year Treasury Auction Result

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