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MNI BOC Preview, Apr'23: No Need To Change Guidance Yet

Source: Bank of Canada

EXECUTIVE SUMMARY

  • The BoC is unanimously expected to keep rates on hold at 4.5% on Wednesday and for the most part echo March’s continued guidance of a conditional pause whilst leaving the door open to further hikes to prevent an excessively large easing in financial conditions.
  • The macro backdrop isn’t sufficiently different to warrant a change in guidance, although new forecasts could be used as a hawkish nuance if wanted, especially on the growth side. It’s not a base case but we don’t rule out a tweak higher in the annual neutral rate revision.
  • Governor Macklem will follow the day’s proceedings with a fire side chat at the IMF on Apr 13, 0900ET.

PLEASE FIND THE FULL REPORT HERE:

BOCPreviewApr2023.pdf



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