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EGB Supply - W/C November 21, 2022

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Ramaphosa Heads to UK as Eskom Diesel Reserves Spiral

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(F3) Bear Cycle Extends

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Consumer Confidence Edges Up in Nov

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MNI DATA FORECASTS: Flash PMIs in Focus

(MNI) LONDON

Forecasts for the coming week's main data releases.

True
DateGMT/LocalImpactPeriodFlagCountryReleasePriorConsensus
22/11/20220900/1000**SepEUEZ Current Acc26.3--E (b)
22/11/20221330/0830**SepCARetail Sales (ex-autos) m/m0.71.0%
22/11/20221330/0830**SepCARetail Sales m/m0.71.1%
22/11/20221330/0830**NovUSPhiladelphia Fed Nonmfg Index-14.9--
22/11/20221355/0855**19-NovUSRedbook Retail Sales y/y (month)----%
22/11/20221355/0855**19-NovUSRedbook Retail Sales y/y (week)----%
22/11/20221500/1600**NovEUConsumer Confidence (p)-27.6-26.9
22/11/20221500/1000**NovUSRichmond Fed Mfg Index-10-9
22/11/20221630/1130**NovUSBid to Cover Ratio----
22/11/20221800/1300**NovUSBid to Cover Ratio----
23/11/20222200/0900***OctAUIHS Markit Composite PMI (p)----
23/11/20222200/0900***OctAUIHS Markit Manufacturing PMI (p)----
23/11/20222200/0900***OctAUIHS Markit Services PMI (p)----
23/11/20220815/0915**NovFRIHS Markit Services PMI (p)51.750.6
23/11/20220815/0915**NovFRIHS Markit Manufacturing PMI (p)47.247.0
23/11/20220830/0930**NovDEIHS Markit Services PMI (p)46.546.2
23/11/20220830/0930**NovDEIHS Markit Manufacturing PMI (p)45.145.0
23/11/20220900/1000**NovEUIHS Markit Services PMI (p)48.648.0
23/11/20220900/1000**NovEUIHS Markit Manufacturing PMI (p)46.446.0
23/11/20220900/1000**NovEUIHS Markit Composite PMI (p)----
23/11/20220930/0930***NovUKIHS Markit Manufacturing PMI (flash)46.245.8
23/11/20220930/0930***NovUKIHS Markit Services PMI (flash)48.848.0
23/11/20220930/0930***NovUKIHS Markit Composite PMI (flash)----
23/11/20221000/1000**25-NovUKBid to Cover Ratio----
23/11/20221200/0700**18-NovUSMBA Mortgage Applications w/w----%
23/11/20221330/0830*Q3CACorporate profits----%
23/11/20221330/0830**19-NovUSContinuing Claims1507.01515 (k)
23/11/20221330/0830**19-NovUSInitial Jobless Claims222.0225 (k)
23/11/20221330/0830**19-NovUSPrev Continuing Claims, Rev1494.0-- (k)
23/11/20221330/0830**19-NovUSPrev Initial Jobless Claims, Rev226.0-- (k)
23/11/20221330/0830**OctUSDurable Goods New Orders m/m0.40.5%
23/11/20221330/0830**OctUSDurable New Ords (x-trnsp) m/m-0.50.1%
23/11/20221330/0830**OctUSPrevious Durable Goods New Orders Ex Transportation Revised SA m/m percent change0.0--%
23/11/20221330/0830**OctUSPrevious Durable Goods New Orders Revised SA m/m percent change0.2--%
23/11/20221445/0945***NovUSIHS Markit Mfg Index (flash)50.450.0
23/11/20221445/0945***NovUSIHS Markit Services Index (flash)47.848.0
23/11/20221500/1000***OctUSNew Home Sales0.6030.575 (m)
23/11/20221500/1000***OctUSPrevious New Home Sales Revised (millions)0.677-- (m)
23/11/20221500/1000***NovUSMichigan sentiment index (f)54.755.5
23/11/20221530/1030**18-NovUSCrude Oil Stocks ex. SPR w/w----bbl (m)
23/11/20221530/1030**18-NovUSDistillate Stocks w/w change----bbl (m)
23/11/20221530/1030**18-NovUSGasoline Stocks w/w change----bbl (m)
23/11/20221700/1200**18-NovUSNatural Gas Stocks w/w----Bcf
24/11/20220030/0930**NovJPIHS Markit Flash Composite PMI----
24/11/20220030/0930**NovJPIHS Markit Flash Manufacturing PMI50.7--
24/11/20220030/0930**NovJPIHS Markit Flash Services PMI53.2--
24/11/20220745/0845**NovFRManufacturing Sentiment103.0102
24/11/20220830/0930**SEInterest Rate1.752.50%
24/11/20220900/1000***NovDEIFO Business Climate Index84.385.0
24/11/20221100/0600*TRInterest Rate10.59.0%
24/11/20221330/0830*SepCAAverage weekly earnings y/y----%
24/11/20221330/0830*SepCAPayroll employment---- (k)
24/11/20221400/1500**NovBEBNB Business Sentiment-15.5-14.4
25/11/20220700/0800*NovDEGFK Consumer Climate-41.9-39.5
25/11/20220700/0800***Q3DEGDP (f) q/q0.30.3%
25/11/20220700/0800***Q3DEGDP (f) y/y wda1.21.2%
25/11/20220700/0800**OctSEPPI m/m----%
25/11/20220700/0800**OctSEPPI y/y----%
25/11/20220745/0845**NovFRConsumer Sentiment82.083
25/11/20220900/1000**NovITISTAT Consumer Confidence90.191.0
25/11/20220900/1000**NovITISTAT Business Confidence104.5--
25/11/20221330/0830**24-NovUSCorn Net Sales----MT (k)
25/11/20221330/0830**24-NovUSCorn Weekly Exports----MT (k)
25/11/20221330/0830**24-NovUSSoy Net Sales----MT (k)
25/11/20221330/0830**24-NovUSSoy Weekly Exports----MT (k)
25/11/20221330/0830**24-NovUSWheat Net Sales----MT (k)
25/11/20221330/0830**24-NovUSWheat Weekly Exports----MT (k)
794 words

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DateGMT/LocalImpactPeriodFlagCountryReleasePriorConsensus
22/11/20220900/1000**SepEUEZ Current Acc26.3--E (b)
22/11/20221330/0830**SepCARetail Sales (ex-autos) m/m0.71.0%
22/11/20221330/0830**SepCARetail Sales m/m0.71.1%
22/11/20221330/0830**NovUSPhiladelphia Fed Nonmfg Index-14.9--
22/11/20221355/0855**19-NovUSRedbook Retail Sales y/y (month)----%
22/11/20221355/0855**19-NovUSRedbook Retail Sales y/y (week)----%
22/11/20221500/1600**NovEUConsumer Confidence (p)-27.6-26.9
22/11/20221500/1000**NovUSRichmond Fed Mfg Index-10-9
22/11/20221630/1130**NovUSBid to Cover Ratio----
22/11/20221800/1300**NovUSBid to Cover Ratio----
23/11/20222200/0900***OctAUIHS Markit Composite PMI (p)----
23/11/20222200/0900***OctAUIHS Markit Manufacturing PMI (p)----
23/11/20222200/0900***OctAUIHS Markit Services PMI (p)----
23/11/20220815/0915**NovFRIHS Markit Services PMI (p)51.750.6
23/11/20220815/0915**NovFRIHS Markit Manufacturing PMI (p)47.247.0
23/11/20220830/0930**NovDEIHS Markit Services PMI (p)46.546.2
23/11/20220830/0930**NovDEIHS Markit Manufacturing PMI (p)45.145.0
23/11/20220900/1000**NovEUIHS Markit Services PMI (p)48.648.0
23/11/20220900/1000**NovEUIHS Markit Manufacturing PMI (p)46.446.0
23/11/20220900/1000**NovEUIHS Markit Composite PMI (p)----
23/11/20220930/0930***NovUKIHS Markit Manufacturing PMI (flash)46.245.8
23/11/20220930/0930***NovUKIHS Markit Services PMI (flash)48.848.0
23/11/20220930/0930***NovUKIHS Markit Composite PMI (flash)----
23/11/20221000/1000**25-NovUKBid to Cover Ratio----
23/11/20221200/0700**18-NovUSMBA Mortgage Applications w/w----%
23/11/20221330/0830*Q3CACorporate profits----%
23/11/20221330/0830**19-NovUSContinuing Claims1507.01515 (k)
23/11/20221330/0830**19-NovUSInitial Jobless Claims222.0225 (k)
23/11/20221330/0830**19-NovUSPrev Continuing Claims, Rev1494.0-- (k)
23/11/20221330/0830**19-NovUSPrev Initial Jobless Claims, Rev226.0-- (k)
23/11/20221330/0830**OctUSDurable Goods New Orders m/m0.40.5%
23/11/20221330/0830**OctUSDurable New Ords (x-trnsp) m/m-0.50.1%
23/11/20221330/0830**OctUSPrevious Durable Goods New Orders Ex Transportation Revised SA m/m percent change0.0--%
23/11/20221330/0830**OctUSPrevious Durable Goods New Orders Revised SA m/m percent change0.2--%
23/11/20221445/0945***NovUSIHS Markit Mfg Index (flash)50.450.0
23/11/20221445/0945***NovUSIHS Markit Services Index (flash)47.848.0
23/11/20221500/1000***OctUSNew Home Sales0.6030.575 (m)
23/11/20221500/1000***OctUSPrevious New Home Sales Revised (millions)0.677-- (m)
23/11/20221500/1000***NovUSMichigan sentiment index (f)54.755.5
23/11/20221530/1030**18-NovUSCrude Oil Stocks ex. SPR w/w----bbl (m)
23/11/20221530/1030**18-NovUSDistillate Stocks w/w change----bbl (m)
23/11/20221530/1030**18-NovUSGasoline Stocks w/w change----bbl (m)
23/11/20221700/1200**18-NovUSNatural Gas Stocks w/w----Bcf
24/11/20220030/0930**NovJPIHS Markit Flash Composite PMI----
24/11/20220030/0930**NovJPIHS Markit Flash Manufacturing PMI50.7--
24/11/20220030/0930**NovJPIHS Markit Flash Services PMI53.2--
24/11/20220745/0845**NovFRManufacturing Sentiment103.0102
24/11/20220830/0930**SEInterest Rate1.752.50%
24/11/20220900/1000***NovDEIFO Business Climate Index84.385.0
24/11/20221100/0600*TRInterest Rate10.59.0%
24/11/20221330/0830*SepCAAverage weekly earnings y/y----%
24/11/20221330/0830*SepCAPayroll employment---- (k)
24/11/20221400/1500**NovBEBNB Business Sentiment-15.5-14.4
25/11/20220700/0800*NovDEGFK Consumer Climate-41.9-39.5
25/11/20220700/0800***Q3DEGDP (f) q/q0.30.3%
25/11/20220700/0800***Q3DEGDP (f) y/y wda1.21.2%
25/11/20220700/0800**OctSEPPI m/m----%
25/11/20220700/0800**OctSEPPI y/y----%
25/11/20220745/0845**NovFRConsumer Sentiment82.083
25/11/20220900/1000**NovITISTAT Consumer Confidence90.191.0
25/11/20220900/1000**NovITISTAT Business Confidence104.5--
25/11/20221330/0830**24-NovUSCorn Net Sales----MT (k)
25/11/20221330/0830**24-NovUSCorn Weekly Exports----MT (k)
25/11/20221330/0830**24-NovUSSoy Net Sales----MT (k)
25/11/20221330/0830**24-NovUSSoy Weekly Exports----MT (k)
25/11/20221330/0830**24-NovUSWheat Net Sales----MT (k)
25/11/20221330/0830**24-NovUSWheat Weekly Exports----MT (k)