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MNI DATA FORECASTS: US CPI and UK Jobs In Market Eye

Forecasts for data releases in the week commencing June 12.

DateGMT/LocalImpactPeriodFlagCountryReleasePriorConsensus
12/06/2023-***MayCNM2 ytd y/y (date tba)12.412.0%
12/06/2023-***MayCNnew loans (date tba)0.721.5CNY (t)
12/06/2023-***MayCNsocial financing (date tba)1.221.80CNY (t)
12/06/20231500/1100**JunUSNyFed 1y cons. infl. expect. (med.)----%
12/06/20231500/1100**JunUSNyFed 3y cons. infl. expect. (med.)----%
12/06/20231500/1100**JunUSNyFed 5y cons. infl. expect. (med.)----%
12/06/20231530/1130***JunUSBid to Cover Ratio----
12/06/20231530/1130*16-JunUSBid to Cover Ratio----
12/06/20231700/1300*16-JunUSBid to Cover Ratio----
12/06/20231700/1300**JunUSBid to Cover Ratio----
13/06/20230600/0700***AprUKAWE (inc bonus) 3m/3m y/y5.86.1%
13/06/20230600/0700***AprUKAvg Earnings(ex-bonus) 3m3m yy6.76.9%
13/06/20230600/0700***AprUKILO Unemployment Rate3.94.0%
13/06/20230600/0700***AprUKPrev Claimant Count Revised26.5-- (k)
13/06/20230600/0700***AprUKUnemployment Claimant Count46.7-- (k)
13/06/20230600/0800***MayDEHICP (f) m/m0.6--%
13/06/20230600/0800***MayDEHICP (f) y/y7.6--%
13/06/20230600/0800**MayNOGDP Mainland m/m0.5--%
13/06/20230600/0800**MayNOGDP m/m0.4--%
13/06/20230700/0900***MayESHICP (f) m/m-0.2-0.2%
13/06/20230700/0900***MayESHICP (f) y/y6.36.3%
13/06/20230900/1100***JunDEZEW Current Conditions Index-34.8-41.0
13/06/20230900/1100***JunDEZEW Expectations Index-10.7-13.5
13/06/20230900/1000**16-JunUKBid to Cover Ratio----
13/06/20231000/0600**MayUSNFIB Small Business Index89.088.4
13/06/20231230/0830***MayUSCPI Ex Food and Energy m/m0.40.4%
13/06/20231230/0830***MayUSCPI Ex Food and Energy y/y (core nsa)5.55.2%
13/06/20231230/0830***MayUSCPI m/m0.40.2%
13/06/20231230/0830***MayUSCPI y/y (nsa)4.94.1%
13/06/20231255/0855**10-JunUSRedbook Retail Sales y/y (month)----%
13/06/20231255/0855**10-JunUSRedbook Retail Sales y/y (week)----%
13/06/20231530/1130*16-JunUSBid to Cover Ratio----
13/06/20231530/1130**MayUSBid to Cover Ratio----
13/06/20231700/1300***JunUSBid to Cover Ratio----
14/06/20230600/0700**AprUKGDP - 3m y/y0.5--%
14/06/20230600/0700**AprUKGDP - 3m/3m0.10.1%
14/06/20230600/0700**AprUKGDP - m/m-0.30.2%
14/06/20230600/0700***AprUKIndustrial Production m/m0.8--%
14/06/20230600/0700***AprUKIndustrial Production y/y-2.0--%
14/06/20230600/0700***AprUKManufacturing Output m/m0.7--%
14/06/20230600/0700***AprUKManufacturing Output y/y-1.3--%
14/06/20230600/0700**AprUKIndex of Services 3m/3m0.1-0.1%
14/06/20230600/0700**AprUKIndex of Services m/m-0.50.3%
14/06/20230600/0700**AprUKNon-EU Trade Balance-5.458--GBP (b)
14/06/20230600/0700**AprUKTotal Trade Balance-2.864--GBP (b)
14/06/20230600/0700**AprUKVisible Trade Balance-16.356-16.5GBP (b)
14/06/20230600/0700**AprUKConstruction Output m/m0.20.0%
14/06/20230600/0700**AprUKConstruction Output y/y4.14.3%
14/06/20230600/0800***MaySECPIF y/y7.66.5%
14/06/20230900/1100**AprEUIndustrial Production m/m-4.10.7%
14/06/20230900/1100**AprEUIndustrial Production y/y wda-1.41.0%
14/06/20231100/0700**09-JunUSMBA Mortgage Applications w/w----%
14/06/20231230/0830*Q1CAHousehold cred mkt debt/income----%
14/06/20231230/0830***MayUSFinal Demand PPI m/m0.2-0.1%
14/06/20231230/0830***MayUSPPI ex-food, energy, trade m/m0.20.2%
14/06/20231230/0830***MayUSPPI ex. food and energy m/m0.20.2%
14/06/20231430/1030**09-JunUSCrude Oil Stocks ex. SPR w/w----bbl (m)
14/06/20231430/1030**09-JunUSDistillate Stocks w/w change----bbl (m)
14/06/20231430/1030**09-JunUSGasoline Stocks w/w change----bbl (m)
14/06/20231800/1400***USFederal Funds Rate Range Maximum5.255.25%
15/06/20232245/1045***Q1NZGDP q/q-0.6-0.1%
15/06/20232245/1045***Q1NZGDP y/y2.22.6%
15/06/20232350/0850**MayJPExports y/y2.6-1.2%
15/06/20232350/0850**MayJPImports y/y-2.3-10.2%
15/06/20232350/0850**MayJPTrade balance-432--JPY (b)
15/06/20232350/0850**MayJPTrade balance y/y----%
15/06/20230130/1130***MayAUEmployed Persons change m/m-4.315 (k)
15/06/20230130/1130***MayAULabor Participation Rate66.766.7%
15/06/20230130/1130***MayAUUnemployment Rate3.73.7%
15/06/20230200/1000***ytdCNUrban Fixed-Asset Investment y/y4.74.4%
15/06/20230200/1000***MayCNRetail Sales y/y18.413.9%
15/06/20230200/1000***MayCNIndustrial Output y/y5.63.8%
15/06/20230200/1000**MayCNSurveyed Unemployment Rate5.25.2%
15/06/20230645/0845***MayFRHICP (f) m/m-0.1p-0.1%
15/06/20230645/0845***MayFRHICP (f) y/y6.0p6.0%
15/06/20230900/1100*AprEUTrade Balance----E (b)
15/06/20231215/0815**MayCACMHC Housing Starts---- (k)
15/06/20231215/1415***EUECB Deposit Rate3.253.5%
15/06/20231215/1415***EUECB Refinancing Rate3.754.0%
15/06/20231215/1415***EUECB Lending Rate %4.04.25%
15/06/20231230/0830**10-JunUSContinuing Claims---- (k)
15/06/20231230/0830**10-JunUSInitial Jobless Claims261250 (k)
15/06/20231230/0830**10-JunUSPrev Continuing Claims, Rev---- (k)
15/06/20231230/0830**10-JunUSPrev Initial Jobless Claims, Rev---- (k)
15/06/20231230/0830**08-JunUSCorn Net Sales----MT (k)
15/06/20231230/0830**08-JunUSCorn Weekly Exports----MT (k)
15/06/20231230/0830**08-JunUSSoy Net Sales----MT (k)
15/06/20231230/0830**08-JunUSSoy Weekly Exports----MT (k)
15/06/20231230/0830**08-JunUSWheat Net Sales----MT (k)
15/06/20231230/0830**08-JunUSWheat Weekly Exports----MT (k)
15/06/20231230/0830**AprCAManufacturing Sales----%
15/06/20231230/0830***MayUSRetail Sales (ex-auto) m/m0.40.1%
15/06/20231230/0830***MayUSRetail Sales (ex-auto, gas) m/m0.60.3%
15/06/20231230/0830***MayUSRetail Sales m/m0.40.0%
15/06/20231230/0830**MayUSExports Price Index m/m0.20%
15/06/20231230/0830**MayUSImports Price Index m/m0.4-0.6%
15/06/20231230/0830**JunUSEmpire Manufacturing Index-31.8-15.1
15/06/20231230/0830**JunUSPhiladelphia Fed Mfg Index-10.4-12.5
15/06/20231300/0900*MayCACREA Existing Home Sales Monthly---- (k)
15/06/20231315/0915***MayUSCapacity Utilization79.779.7%
15/06/20231315/0915***MayUSIndustrial Production m/m0.50.1%
15/06/20231315/0915***MayUSPrevious Capacity Utilization Revised79.4--%
15/06/20231315/0915***MayUSPrevious Industrial Production Revised0.0--%
15/06/20231400/1000*AprUSBusiness Inventories m/m-0.1--%
15/06/20231430/1030**09-JunUSNatural Gas Stocks w/w----Bcf
15/06/20232000/1600**AprUSLong Term TICS Flows133.3--USD (b)
15/06/20232000/1600**AprUSNet TICS Flows56.7--USD (b)
16/06/20230200/1100***JunJPBOJ policy announcement-0.1-0.1%
16/06/20230800/1000**MayITItaly Final HICP m/m----%
16/06/20230800/1000**MayITItaly Final HICP y/y8.7--%
16/06/20230830/0930**Q2UKBOE/Ipsos Infla Att 1yr----%
16/06/20230830/0930**Q2UKBOE/Ipsos Infla Att 2yr----%
16/06/20230830/0930**Q2UKBOE/Ipsos Infla Att 5yr----%
16/06/20230830/0930**Q2UKBOE/Ipsos Inflation Attitudes----%
16/06/20230900/1100***MayEUHICP (f) m/m0.60.0%
16/06/20230900/1100***MayEUHICP (f) y/y7.06.1%
16/06/20230900/1100***MayEUHICP Core (f) m/m----%
16/06/20230900/1100***MayEUHICP Core (f) y/y----%
16/06/20231230/0830**AprCAWholesale Sales----%
16/06/20231230/0830*AprCAIntl Securities Transactions----CAD (b)
MNI London Bureau | +44 203-865-3812 | les.commons@marketnews.com
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MNI London Bureau | +44 203-865-3812 | les.commons@marketnews.com
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