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MNI DATA NALAYSIS:Weaker CAD Boosts Canadian Industrial Prices>

--IPPI +0.8% M/M; Excluding Petroleum and Coal +0.7% M/M
--IPPI Excluding CAD Depreciation Impact +0.1% M/M
By Yali N'Diaye
     OTTAWA (MNI) - Prices for manufactured goods produced in Canada 
increased 0.8% in March, the largest gain since last November, after 
rising 0.3% in February, boosted by the depreciation of the Canadian 
dollar against its U.S. counterpart, data from Statistics Canada showed 
Monday. 
     On a year-over-year basis, the Industrial Product Price Index 
continued to increase at a steady pace of 2.3%. 
     The higher prices for products sold by Canadian manufacturers in 
March suggest a positive contribution to the value of manufacturing 
sales to be released later this month, notably for energy and petroleum 
sales. 
     --EXCHANGE RATE BOOST 
     The Canadian dollar depreciated by an average 2.7% against the 
greenback over the month, following a 1.3% decrease in February and a 
2.7% gain in January. 
     If not for the impact of the weaker loonie, prices would have edged 
up just 0.1% in March instead of 0.8%. 
     Prices for motorized and recreational vehicles (+0.4%) are 
particularly sensitive to exchange rate movements. 
     --WIDESPREAD GAINS 
     However, increases were widespread across commodity groups, with 16 
of 21 categories recording higher prices. 
     Gains were led by energy and petroleum, with prices up 1.3%, as 
well as pulp and paper, where prices rose +3.4%, the largest increase 
since October 2008. 
     Energy and petroleum prices (+12.4%) were also the main contributor 
to the 12-month IPPI increase. 
     --HIGHER PRICES PAID 
     Prices paid by Canadian manufacturers for key raw materials also 
increased in March, as they appreciated by 2.1% after declining 0.4% in 
February. 
     The Raw Materials Price Index was boosted by crude energy prices, 
which were up 5.3% on the month and 21.1% year-over-year. 
     Excluding crude energy, the RMPI actually decreased 0.5% from 
February, for a 2.0% year-over-year increase. 
     A total of four out of five categories recorded higher prices in 
March, with the index up 10.0% year-over-year. 
     --CONSUMER PRICES UP 
     It remains to be seen to which extent the Canadian dollar 
depreciation will affect prices at the retail level, especially given 
the competition between retailers. 
     Headline CPI picked up to 2.3% in March from 2.2% in February, 
boosted by a 17.1% gain in gasoline prices. Excluding the latter 
category, however, the CPI increased at a steady pace of 1.8%. 
     Core inflation stabilized in March, with the range of the three 
Bank of Canada's preferred measures of inflation remaining at 1.9%-2.1%. 
     Going forward, the BOC expects inflation to pick up to 2.3% in the 
second quarter from 2.1% in the first quarter. 
--MNI Ottawa Bureau; email: yali.ndiaye@marketnews.com
[TOPICS: M$C$$$,MACDS$]

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